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The Rupp Report

The Rupp Report: Positive News Ahead For ITMA Asia + CITME 2012

Jürg Rupp, Executive Editor

Last week, the Rupp Report mentioned that a questionnaire would be sent out to opinion leaders asking about their expectations and their thoughts about the forthcoming ITMA Asia + CITME 2012 (See " The Rupp Report: ITMA Asia + CITME 2012 Ante Portas," TextileWorld.com, May 15, 2012). Some replies already have come in, and the reporting will start next week.

In the meantime, some encouraging news dropped in from the Switzerland-based International Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF), which has just published the 34th volume of its annual International Textile Machinery Shipment Statistics (ITMSS). The numbers show record levels in global shipments of new textile machinery in 2011. These official figures confirm the statements of market leaders in the past few months that were given to the Rupp Report. The survey was compiled in cooperation with 118 global textile machinery manufacturers. Following is ITMF's summary of the most important facts and figures.

Shipments of new short-staple spindles dropped in 2008 and 2009, but strongly recovered in 2010 with an increase of 75 percent. In 2011 they further rose by 15 percent to reach 14.33 million, which in an all-time high. It is no surprise that 94 percent (13.46 million) of all short-staple spindles were shipped to Asia. China alone received 8.90 million spindles or 62 percent of global shipments, followed by India, 2.49 million spindles (17 percent); Bangladesh, 639,000 (4.5 percent); Turkey, 628,000 (4.4 percent); and Indonesia, 517,000 (3.6 percent).

Global shipments of long-staple (wool) spindles rose in 2011 by 35 percent to 113,250. Europe received most of those spindles, with 53,750 (47 percent), followed by Asia, 49,000 (43 percent); the Americas, 8,750 (7.7 percent); and Africa, 2,000 (1.8 percent). Turkey was the single largest investor in long-staple (wool) spindles, with 32,500, followed by China, 23,400; Iran, 14,300; the United Arab Emirates, 9,000; and Italy, 8,800.

Open-end rotors investments jumped in 2011 by 27 percent to 572,250 — also a new record high. For this spinning technology, Asia was by far the biggest investor, with 463,250 new rotors (81 percent) of global shipments. China again was the biggest investor, with 388,250 (68 percent) of global shipments. India again came in second with a total of 37,750 rotors (6.6 percent), followed by Turkey, 35,250 rotors (6.2 percent); Brazil, 30,250 rotors (5.3 percent); Uzbekistan, 10,250 rotors (1.8 percent); and the United States, 12,250 rotors (2.1 percent).

Shipments of single heater draw-texturing spindles for polyamide filaments significantly dropped by 86 percent, from 13,200 in 2010 to 1,824 in 2011. Taiwan and Vietnam were the only countries that installed new texturing spindles of this type, with 1,536 and 288 spindles, respectively.

On the other hand, double heater draw-texturing spindles for polyester filament rose from 568,250 spindles in 2010 to 826,500 in 2011, representing a 45-percent increase — again an all-time record level. And, no surprise, China was the biggest investor, with 624,500 spindles (76 percent) of global shipments, followed by India, with 90,000 (11 percent); Turkey, 20,000 (2.4 percent); Japan, 19,750 (2.4 percent); and Taiwan, 7,500 (0.9 percent).

Worldwide shipments of shuttleless looms continued soaring in 2011 to 153,750 machines — an increase of 44 percent compared to last year's record of 107,000. The main reason behind this development is the surprising surge in shipments of water-jet looms. After an incredible jump of 537 percent to 73,250 in 2010, global deliveries continued rising by 54 percent to 113,000 machines in 2011 — which ITMF reports is due in part to the fact that more weaving machinery manufacturers reported for the first time in 2010.

Shipments of rapier/projectile looms increased 20 percent from 16,000 in 2010 to 19,250 in 2011. Deliveries for air-jet looms also increased, from 17,750 in 2010 to 21,500 in 2011 — an increase of 21 percent.

Asia was also the main destination for weaving machinery, with 148,500 or 96 percent of all new shuttleless looms installed. China was the biggest investor, with 128,100 looms (83 percent), of which 106,000 were water-jets looms; 13,900 were air-jet looms; and 8,250 were rapier/projectile looms. India was the second-biggest investor, with 9,100 looms (6 percent); followed by Indonesia, with 2,900 (1.9 percent); and Korea, 2,500 (1.6 percent).

Circular & Flat Knitting
Global shipments of large circular knitting machines decreased by 16 percent from 34,500 in 2010 to 28,900 in 2011. Asia was also the greatest investor in this sector, absorbing 26,400 machines (91 percent) of all global shipments in 2011. The biggest single investor, of course, was China, with a total of 21,200 machines (73 percent); followed by India, with 1,500 machines (5.2 percent); Bangladesh, 1,050 (3.6 percent); and Turkey, 900 (3.1 percent).

On the other hand, 2011 shipments of electronic flat knitting machines jumped 37 percent to 70,000 machines. Most of the electronic flat knitting machines were delivered to Asia, which invested in 65,250 (93 percent); and to Europe (including Turkey), which invested in 4,100 machines (5.8 percent). China again was the biggest investor, with 54,800 new machines (78 percent), followed by Bangladesh, with 4,475 machines (6.4 percent); Hong Kong, 2,930 machines (4.2 percent); Turkey, 2,150 machines (3.1 percent); and Italy, 1,120 machines (1.6 percent).

Global Yarn And Fabric Output
ITMF also has reported some positive figures for global yarn and fabric output. Global yarn production increased in Q4/2011 as a result of higher output in Asia — especially in China — and Europe and in spite of lower production in North and South America. In addition, year-on-year global yarn production was up as a result of higher output in Asia and in spite of lower output in Europe and the Americas.

Global fabric production rose in the fourth quarter with Asia and Europe recording higher output, while North and Latin America recorded lower output. Compared to last year's fourth quarter, global fabric output decreased with all regions suffering some declines.

Global yarn stocks were slightly higher in the fourth quarter compared with the previous one, which ITMF notes was especially due to higher stocks in Europe and South America, while stocks in Asia fell. Year-on-year global yarn inventories increased as a result of higher stocks in all regions. In comparison to the previous quarter, fabric stocks were up in Europe and Latin America in the fourth quarter, but down in Asia and North America. On an annual basis, fabric stocks soared in South America, while small increases were recorded in North America and Asia, while stocks decreased slightly in Europe.

The estimates for global yarn and fabric production in the first quarter of 2012 compared to the last quarter of 2011 are negative. ITMF reports that as far as yarn production is concerned, this is mainly due to lower output in Asia in general and China in particular, whereas output is estimated to increase in the Americas with Europe remaining unchanged. Regarding global fabric production, both Asia and Europe are expecting lower output in the first quarter of 2012; while on the other hand, South America is estimating higher production. However, ITMF predicts that the general outlook for the second quarter of 2012 will be positive for both global yarn and fabric production.

Overall, this is good news, and the facts are encouraging for a successful ITMA Asia + CITME 2012 in Shanghai.

May 22, 2012